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  The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives

 
The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $24.95
Sale: $14.73
 
Manufacturer: Pantheon
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Leonard Mlodinow
Publisher: Pantheon
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.2
Publication Date: 2008-05-13
Reading Level: 272
 
Description: Amazon Guest Review: Stephen Hawking
Published in 1988, Stephen Hawking’s A Brief History of Time became perhaps one of the unlikeliest bestsellers in history: a not-so-dumbed-down exploration of physics and the universe that occupied the London Sunday Times bestseller list for 237 weeks. Later successes include 1995’s A Briefer History of Time, The Universe in a Nutshell, and God Created the Integers: The Mathematical Breakthroughs that Changed History. Stephen Hawking is Lucasian Professor of Mathematics at the University of Cambridge.

In The Drunkard’s Walk Leonard Mlodinow provides readers with a wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives. With insight he shows how the hallmarks of chance are apparent in the course of events all around us. The understanding of randomness has brought about profound changes in the way we view our surroundings, and our universe. I am pleased that Leonard has skillfully explained this important branch of mathematics. --Stephen Hawking



 

  Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

 
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $27.00
Sale: $16.70
 
Manufacturer: Random House
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: Random House
Edition: 2 Updated
Dewey Decimal Number: 332
Publication Date: 2008-10-14
Reading Level: 368
 
Description: If the prescriptions for getting rich that are outlined in books such as The Millionaire Next Door and Rich Dad Poor Dad are successful enough to make the books bestsellers, then one must ask, Why aren't there more millionaires? In Fooled by Randomness, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a professional trader and mathematics professor, examines what randomness means in business and in life and why human beings are so prone to mistake dumb luck for consummate skill. This eccentric and highly personal exploration of the nature of randomness meanders from the court of Croesus and trading rooms in New York and London to Russian roulette, Monte Carlo engines, and the philosophy of Karl Popper. Part of what makes this book so good is Taleb's ability to make seemingly arcane mathematical concepts (at least to this reviewer) entirely relevant in evaluating and understanding everything from the stock market to the success of those millionaires cited in the aforementioned bestsellers. Here's an articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider. Highly recommended. --Harry C. Edwards

 

  The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, 2nd edition

 
The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, 2nd edition under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $40.00
Sale: $24.98
 
Manufacturer: Graphics Press
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Edward R. Tufte
Publisher: Graphics Press
Edition: 2
Dewey Decimal Number: 001.4226
Publication Date: 2001-05
Reading Level: 197
 
Description: A timeless classic in how complex information should be presented graphically. The Strunk & White of visual design. Should occupy a place of honor--within arm's reach--of everyone attempting to understand or depict numerical data graphically. The design of the book is an exemplar of the principles it espouses: elegant typography and layout, and seamless integration of lucid text and perfectly chosen graphical examples. Very Highly Recommended.

 

  The Unfinished Game: Pascal, Fermat, and the Seventeenth-Century Letter that Made the World Modern

 
The Unfinished Game: Pascal, Fermat, and the Seventeenth-Century Letter that Made the World Modern under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $24.95
Sale: $14.39
 
Manufacturer: Basic Books
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Keith Devlin
Publisher: Basic Books
Edition: 1
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.2
Publication Date: 2008-09-22
Reading Level: 208
 
Description:
Before the mid-seventeenth century, scholars generally agreed that it was impossible to predict something by calculating mathematical outcomes. One simply could not put a numerical value on the likelihood that a particular event would occur. Even the outcome of something as simple as a dice roll or the likelihood of showers instead of sunshine was thought to lie in the realm of pure, unknowable chance.

The issue remained intractable until Blaise Pascal wrote to Pierre de Fermat in 1654, outlining a solution to the “unfinished game” problem: how do you divide the pot when players are forced to end a game of dice before someone has won? The idea turned out to be far more seminal than Pascal realized. From it, the two men developed the method known today as probability theory.

In The Unfinished Game, mathematician and NPR commentator Keith Devlin tells the story of this correspondence and its remarkable impact on the modern world: from insurance rates, to housing and job markets, to the safety of cars and planes, calculating probabilities allowed people, for the first time, to think rationally about how future events might unfold.


 

  Statistics for Dummies

 
Statistics for Dummies under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $19.99
Sale: $9.99
 
Manufacturer: For Dummies
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Paperback
Author: Deborah Rumsey
Publisher: For Dummies
Edition: 1
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.5
Publication Date: 2003-08-25
Reading Level: 384
 
Description: In the numbers explosion all around us in our modern-day dealings, the buzzword is data, as in, “Do you have any data to support your claim?” “The data supported the original hypothesis that . . .” and “The data bear this out. . . .” But the field of statistics is not just about data. Statistics is the entire process involved in gathering evidence to answer questions about the world, in cases where that evidence happens to be numerical data.

Statistics For Dummies is for everyone who wants to sort through and evaluate the incredible amount of statistical information that comes to them on a daily basis. (You know the stuff: charts, graphs, tables, as well as headlines that talk about the results of the latest poll, survey, experiment, or other scientific study.) This book arms you with the ability to decipher and make important decisions about statistical results, being ever aware of the ways in which people can mislead you with statistics. Get the inside scoop on number-crunching nuances, plus insight into how you can

  • Determine the odds
  • Calculate a standard score
  • Find the margin of error
  • Recognize the impact of polls
  • Establish criteria for a good survey
  • Make informed decisions about experiments

This down-to-earth reference is chock-full of real examples from real sources that are relevant to your everyday life: from the latest medical breakthroughs, crime studies, and population trends to surveys on Internet dating, cell phone use, and the worst cars of the millennium. Statistics For Dummies departs from traditional statistics texts, references, supplement books, and study guides in the following ways:

  • Practical and intuitive explanations of statistical concepts, ideas, techniques, formulas, and calculations.
  • Clear and concise step-by-step procedures that intuitively explain how to work through statistics problems.
  • Upfront and honest answers to your questions like, “What does this really mean?” and “When and how I will ever use this?”

Chances are, Statistics For Dummies will be your No. 1 resource for discovering how numerical data figures into your corner of the universe.


 

  Cartoon Guide to Statistics

 
Cartoon Guide to Statistics under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $17.95
Sale: $9.44
 
Manufacturer: Collins
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Paperback
Author: Larry Gonick::Woollcott Smith
Publisher: Collins
Edition: 1
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.5
Publication Date: 1994-02-25
Reading Level: 230
 
Description: If you have ever looked for P-values by shopping at P mart, tried to watch the Bernoulli Trails on "People's Court," or think that the standard deviation is a criminal offense in six states, then you need The Cartoon Guide to Statistics to put you on the road to statistical literacy.

The Cartoon Guide to Statistics covers all the central ideas of modern statistics: the summary and display of data, probability in gambling and medicine, random variables, Bernoulli Trails, the Central Limit Theorem, hypothesis testing, confidence interval estimation, and much more--all explained in simple, clear, and yes, funny illustrations. Never again will you order the Poisson Distribution in a French restaurant!


 

  How to Lie With Statistics

 
How to Lie With Statistics under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $11.95
Sale: $5.75
 
Manufacturer: W. W. Norton & Company
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Paperback
Author: Darrell Huff
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.5
Publication Date: 1993-09
Reading Level: 142
 
Description: "There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.

Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!

Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.

Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton


 

  Visual Explanations: Images and Quantities, Evidence and Narrative

 
Visual Explanations: Images and Quantities, Evidence and Narrative under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $45.00
Sale: $21.99
 
Manufacturer: Graphics Press
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Edward R. Tufte
Publisher: Graphics Press
Dewey Decimal Number: 302.23
Publication Date: 1997-02
Reading Level: 156
 
Description: With Visual Explanations, Edward R. Tufte adds a third volume to his indispensable series on information display. The first, The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, which focuses on charts and graphs that display numerical information, virtually defined the field. The second, Envisioning Information, explores similar territory but with an emphasis on maps and cartography. Visual Explanations centers on dynamic data--information that changes over time. (Tufte has described the three books as being about, respectively, "pictures of numbers, pictures of nouns, and pictures of verbs.")

Like its predecessors, Visual Explanations is both intellectually stimulating and beautiful to behold. Tufte, a self-publisher, takes extraordinary pains with design and production. The book ranges through a variety of topics, including the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger (which could have been prevented, Tufte argues, by better information display on the part of the rocket's engineers), magic tricks, a cholera epidemic in 19th-century London, and the principle of using "the smallest effective difference" to display distinctions in data. Throughout, Tufte presents ideas with crystalline clarity and illustrates them in exquisitely rendered samples.


 

  Guesstimation: Solving the World's Problems on the Back of a Cocktail Napkin

 
Guesstimation: Solving the World's Problems on the Back of a Cocktail Napkin under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $19.95
Sale: $11.97
 
Manufacturer: Princeton University Press
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Paperback
Author: Lawrence Weinstein::John A. Adam
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.544
Publication Date: 2008-04-21
Reading Level: 320
 
Description:

Guesstimation is a book that unlocks the power of approximation--it's popular mathematics rounded to the nearest power of ten! The ability to estimate is an important skill in daily life. More and more leading businesses today use estimation questions in interviews to test applicants' abilities to think on their feet. Guesstimation enables anyone with basic math and science skills to estimate virtually anything--quickly--using plausible assumptions and elementary arithmetic.

Lawrence Weinstein and John Adam present an eclectic array of estimation problems that range from devilishly simple to quite sophisticated and from serious real-world concerns to downright silly ones. How long would it take a running faucet to fill the inverted dome of the Capitol? What is the total length of all the pickles consumed in the US in one year? What are the relative merits of internal-combustion and electric cars, of coal and nuclear energy? The problems are marvelously diverse, yet the skills to solve them are the same. The authors show how easy it is to derive useful ballpark estimates by breaking complex problems into simpler, more manageable ones--and how there can be many paths to the right answer. The book is written in a question-and-answer format with lots of hints along the way. It includes a handy appendix summarizing the few formulas and basic science concepts needed, and its small size and French-fold design make it conveniently portable. Illustrated with humorous pen-and-ink sketches, Guesstimation will delight popular-math enthusiasts and is ideal for the classroom.


 

  The R Book

 
The R Book under Probability & Statistics in The Books Store
Price: $110.00
Sale: $83.60
 
Manufacturer: Wiley
Number of Items: 1
 
 
Binding: Hardcover
Author: Michael J. Crawley
Publisher: Wiley
Dewey Decimal Number: 519.502855133
Publication Date: 2007-06-15
Reading Level: 950
 
Description: The high-level language of R is recognized as one of the most powerful and flexible statistical software environments, and is rapidly becoming the standard setting for quantitative analysis, statistics and graphics. R provides free access to unrivalled coverage and cutting-edge applications, enabling the user to apply numerous statistical methods ranging from simple regression to time series or multivariate analysis.

Building on the success of the author’s bestselling Statistics: An Introduction using R, The R Book is packed with worked examples, providing an all inclusive guide to R, ideal for novice and more accomplished users alike. The book assumes no background in statistics or computing and introduces the advantages of the R environment, detailing its applications in a wide range of disciplines.

  • Provides the first comprehensive reference manual for the R language, including practical guidance and full coverage of the graphics facilities.
  • Introduces all the statistical models covered by R, beginning with simple classical tests such as chi-square and t-test.
  • Proceeds to examine more advance methods, from regression and analysis of variance, through to generalized linear models, generalized mixed models, time series, spatial statistics, multivariate statistics and much more.

The R Book is aimed at undergraduates, postgraduates and professionals in science, engineering and medicine. It is also ideal for students and professionals in statistics, economics, geography and the social sciences.


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